Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.174973 0.202870 0.233791 0.270612 0.313278 0.361179 0.419066
2025-06-15 0.131784 0.169229 0.215131 0.275571 0.353138 0.449461 0.578374
2025-06-22 0.104871 0.144431 0.196389 0.269690 0.370603 0.504915 0.697763
2025-06-29 0.087775 0.127985 0.183852 0.267240 0.388818 0.560074 0.820543
2025-07-06 0.076299 0.116888 0.176096 0.268896 0.411099 0.621511 0.957956
2025-07-13 0.070125 0.112294 0.176553 0.281785 0.450406 0.711182 1.147354
2025-07-20 0.064247 0.107122 0.175110 0.290997 0.484424 0.795886 1.338720
2025-07-27 0.059173 0.102417 0.173566 0.299421 0.517580 0.882258 1.542582
2025-08-03 0.053808 0.096437 0.169025 0.301951 0.540650 0.953863 1.729275
2025-08-10 0.048247 0.089351 0.161640 0.298404 0.552289 1.006499 1.888008
2025-08-17 0.042579 0.081334 0.151605 0.288708 0.551352 1.036096 2.007320
2025-08-24 0.039895 0.078506 0.150601 0.295489 0.581561 1.125593 2.249543
2025-08-31 0.036634 0.074257 0.146590 0.296316 0.600990 1.197978 2.469690
2025-09-07 0.034214 0.071385 0.144914 0.301563 0.629838 1.292111 2.745725
2025-09-14 0.030850 0.066163 0.137942 0.295128 0.633913 1.336697 2.923967
2025-09-21 0.028243 0.062205 0.133074 0.292446 0.645398 1.397562 3.144002
2025-09-28 0.026318 0.059481 0.130463 0.294258 0.666687 1.481371 3.424461
2025-10-05 0.025588 0.059305 0.133290 0.308372 0.716853 1.633536 3.878136
2025-10-12 0.024574 0.058361 0.134305 0.318460 0.758960 1.772283 4.317547
2025-10-19 0.023564 0.057303 0.134929 0.327685 0.800076 1.913246 4.779486
2025-10-26 0.022193 0.055222 0.132953 0.330455 0.825993 2.021290 5.173905
2025-11-02 0.020526 0.052222 0.128470 0.326570 0.835070 2.089729 5.477068
2025-11-09 0.018623 0.048412 0.121613 0.315953 0.825957 2.112283 5.664717